Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -16 (79-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| David Robinson * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Malik Rose | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Andrew Gaze | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 27 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Anstey | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter