Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (95-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Alexander * | 44 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 42 | 5-20 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 40 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 33 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 6-13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Eric Washington * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keon Clark * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Loren Meyer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 7-13 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rex Walters * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter