Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (95-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 43 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 31 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Rex Walters * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 24 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 34 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Don Reid * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jud Buechler * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Loy Vaught * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corey Beck | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter