Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Fortson * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 24 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 30 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 39 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 36 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Eric Washington * | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Loren Meyer * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Keon Clark | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 27 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter