Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.5% | 92.5% | +13.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (99-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 6-10 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 20 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Don MacLean * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vladimir Stepania * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Rashard Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Cotton | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 38 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| David Robinson * | 35 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 36 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 21 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gerard King | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antonio Daniels | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Gaze | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter