Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.2 | ✗ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (80-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 42 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 40 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 25 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Rex Walters * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jamie Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 5-21 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Don Reid * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jud Buechler * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Eric Montross | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mark Macon | 5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Loy Vaught | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Henson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Charles O'Bannon | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mikki Moore | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter