Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -11 (78-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 7-19 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Rex Walters * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Rik Smits * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 25 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Travis Best * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Austin Croshere * | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter