Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (102-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Christie * | 39 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Charles Oakley * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| John Wallace * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Stewart * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Slater | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| William Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 9-18 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 28 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mark Davis * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Rex Walters * | 12 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter