Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (101-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 37 | 12-27 | 4-9 | 3-9 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Kenny Anderson * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 14-14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 28 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Popeye Jones * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Greg Minor * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Eric Riley * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Marlon Garnett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 13-15 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mark Davis * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter