Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (92-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 4-17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Robert Pack * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Gary Trent * | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Hubert Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Anstey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vin Baker * | 45 | 9-20 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 44 | 12-28 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 13 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter