Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -14 (81-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Hunter * | 41 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 33 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 31 | 7-18 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Don Reid * | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 23 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Loy Vaught * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jud Buechler * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mark Macon | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 43 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 42 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Terry Porter * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jamie Watson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter