Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (101-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 34 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 33 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rex Walters | 17 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Lang | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Smith * | 38 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 10-11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Mookie Blaylock * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tyrone Corbin * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Chucky Brown * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Eldridge Recasner * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Miller * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Drew Barry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter