Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (99-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 36 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 36 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 32 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Dean Garrett * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bryant Stith * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Bobby Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Washington | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Priest Lauderdale | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.C. Green * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Khalid Reeves * | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Respert * | 20 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Eric Riley * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Martin Muursepp * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter