Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.5% | 14.5% | -9.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 50 | 9-24 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 44 | 8-15 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug Christie * | 45 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 33 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 26 | - |
| John Wallace * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 31 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Oliver Miller * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Reggie Slater * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Alvin Williams | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter