Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +14 (103-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 38 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rex Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Geary * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Carl Herrera | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Malik Rose | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Willie Burton | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brad Lohaus | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter