Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +26 (121-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Barros * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Greg Minor * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Zan Tabak * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dontae' Jones * | 6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Travis Knight | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Hanson | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 29 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 26 | 10-18 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 19 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio Lang * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rex Walters | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter