Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +32 (109-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Othella Harrington * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Johnson * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Rodrick Rhodes * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brent Price * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Emanual Davis | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 38 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Rex Walters | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Lang | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter