Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +25 (102-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Perry * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 32 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jerald Honeycutt * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Andrew Lang * | 29 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Armen Gilliam * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ricky Pierce * | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Feick | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Litterial Green | 5 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Nordgaard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 35 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 25 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 28 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Lang | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter