Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics -14 (91-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 42 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 42 | 8-21 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 39 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ron Mercer * | 43 | 11-21 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 41 | 11-25 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dana Barros * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Greg Minor * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Zan Tabak * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter