Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +6 (93-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jackson * | 36 | 8-23 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 28 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 26 | 4-17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Muggsy Bogues * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gerald Madkins * | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 16 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Todd Fuller * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Felton Spencer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Duane Ferrell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 39 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 37 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 16 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 5 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter