Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +3 (94-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant Reeves * | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 34 | 6-18 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Lee Mayberry * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sam Mack * | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Michael Smith * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| George Lynch * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Hurley * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Pete Chilcutt * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Majerle * | 39 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 9-23 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter