Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -13 (90-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 39 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Don Reid * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Malik Sealy * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Rick Mahorn * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Charles O'Bannon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steve Henson | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 38 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 38 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter