Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (76-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 42 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 23 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Outlaw * | 43 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 39 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Dan Schayes * | 38 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Nick Anderson * | 38 | 12-19 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Derek Strong * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Mark Price * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Gerald Wilkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Benoit | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter