Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +23 (97-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Anderson * | 34 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Henderson * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 27 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Carl Thomas * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Scott Brooks * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shawnelle Scott * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Bob Sura | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 27 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rex Walters | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter