Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (88-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 41 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marty Conlon * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 8-21 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 32 | 7-18 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Khalid Reeves * | 20 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Eric Riley * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Martin Muursepp * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter