Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -24 (93-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 41 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 33 | 10-20 | 2-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 30 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marty Conlon | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rex Walters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Willis * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Johnson * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Clyde Drexler * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Charles Barkley * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Brent Price * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Hakeem Olajuwon * | 24 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 18 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodrick Rhodes | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Othella Harrington | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Emanual Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter