Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -6 (91-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 46 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 44 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 43 | 7-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 41 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 21 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jim McIlvaine * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Greg Anthony * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Williams * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Mourning * | 48 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 46 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 45 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 43 | 4-15 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marty Conlon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter