Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +19 (91-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 42 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -7 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Ceballos * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Khalid Reeves | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Martin Muursepp | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Riley | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bubba Wells | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 29 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 27 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Marty Conlon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Rex Walters | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter