Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 43 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 33 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Marshall * | 40 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 39 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 38 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Muggsy Bogues * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Todd Fuller * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Felton Spencer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter