Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +18 (97-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson * | 42 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 4-17 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Geary * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Rex Chapman * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Danny Manning * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Johnson * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Mark Bryant * | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Dennis Scott * | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| George McCloud | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marko Milic | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter