Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (77-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Brown * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 29 | 8-21 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Rex Walters | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marty Conlon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mitch Richmond * | 35 | 8-18 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Billy Owens * | 34 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Olden Polynice * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Michael Stewart * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mark Hendrickson * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Terry Dehere * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Robinson | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter