Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (81-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 10-15 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Person * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Geary * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hubert Davis * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 33 | 3-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Bubba Wells * | 33 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 19 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Khalid Reeves * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Chris Anstey * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Martin Muursepp * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Eric Riley * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
* = starter