Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (100-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 38 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 27 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rick Mahorn * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Malik Sealy * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Don Reid * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jerome Williams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Eric Montross | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Steve Henson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 7-11 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 36 | 13-18 | 0-0 | 13-19 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 39 | 40 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 31 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rex Walters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Smith | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter