Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (101-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 42 | 8-16 | 4-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Derrick McKey * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Travis Best * | 25 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rik Smits * | 18 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Antonio Davis | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 41 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 11-21 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 17 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter