Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✗ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 40 | 1-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 38 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Rex Chapman * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Danny Manning * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 28 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Hot Rod Williams * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mark Bryant * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| George McCloud | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 7-23 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 24 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter