Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (102-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Outlaw * | 43 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Rony Seikaly * | 41 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Derek Strong * | 32 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Nick Anderson * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Derek Harper * | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dan Schayes * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vernon Maxwell * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Gerald Wilkins | 8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Brian Evans | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 15-15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 33 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
* = starter