Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 40 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keith Askins | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 33 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter