Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -6 (90-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 37 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 33 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 36 | 10-22 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Pete Chilcutt * | 32 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Sam Mack * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Bryant Reeves * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Otis Thorpe * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| George Lynch * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Blue Edwards * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Lee Mayberry * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tony Massenburg * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter