Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.5% | 8.5% | -13.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -19 (79-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 33 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Keith Askins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaPhonso Ellis * | 36 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Dean Garrett * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tony Battie * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eric Washington * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Johnny Newman * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Harold Ellis * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Joe Wolf * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kiwane Garris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter