Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 44 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 43 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| David Robinson * | 38 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Chuck Person * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cory Alexander | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 41 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter