Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -14 (74-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 34 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Duane Causwell | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Hill * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Bison Dele * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Lindsey Hunter * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joe Dumars * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Eric Montross * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Grant Long * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Malik Sealy * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Charles O'Bannon | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter