Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.9% | 67.1% | +3.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (99-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge Recasner * | 44 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 43 | 7-21 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Chucky Brown * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Alan Henderson * | 23 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyrone Corbin * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Greg Anderson * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ed Gray | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 30 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter