Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +14 (88-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Voshon Lenard * | 35 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 32 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 27 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 21 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Keith Askins * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Webber * | 42 | 4-20 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 42 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 38 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Terry Davis * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tracy Murray * | 21 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ledell Eackles * | 16 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Darvin Ham * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter