Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +15 (104-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 38 | 10-18 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Smith | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Miller * | 39 | 8-14 | 4-4 | 8-8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 39 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | - |
| Chris Mullin * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Rik Smits * | 33 | 14-23 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 10 | - |
| Dale Davis * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Travis Best * | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Pope * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter