Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (32.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +30 (108-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Vinny Del Negro * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 18 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Chuck Person | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Will Perdue | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Barkley * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 28 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Clyde Drexler * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Emanual Davis * | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Mario Elie * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Matt Bullard * | 21 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Matt Maloney * | 21 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Rodrick Rhodes * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Eddie Johnson * | 17 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Charles Jones | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Othella Harrington | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter