Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -16 (81-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 40 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 36 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 31 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Duane Causwell * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mark Strickland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mookie Blaylock * | 43 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 40 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dikembe Mutombo * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tyrone Corbin * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chucky Brown * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ed Gray * | 15 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Greg Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Randy Livingston | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter