Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 38 | 11-26 | 0-6 | 4-10 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 10 | - |
| Walter McCarty * | 34 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Travis Knight * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 22 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dee Brown * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 20 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyus Edney * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Greg Minor * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bruce Bowen | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dana Barros | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Jamal Mashburn * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 28 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 27 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eric Murdock * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 16 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Charles Smith | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter