Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -11 (91-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Johnson * | 43 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| David Robinson * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 32 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Chuck Person * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 23 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Carl Herrera * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Malik Rose | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Scott * | 43 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| A.C. Green * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erick Strickland * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Hubert Davis * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Khalid Reeves * | 18 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter