Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +17 (103-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 32 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 27 | 7-21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 27 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Corie Blount * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jon Barry | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mario Bennett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Mashburn * | 42 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Tim Hardaway * | 39 | 9-22 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Ike Austin * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 27 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mark Strickland * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dan Majerle * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Terry Mills * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Eric Murdock | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Keith Askins | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charles Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter