Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +20 (94-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chuck Person * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| David Robinson * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Will Perdue * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Cory Alexander * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Monty Williams * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Sean Elliott * | 20 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Jaren Jackson * | 19 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Reggie Geary | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 36 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Detlef Schrempf * | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Hersey Hawkins * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Dale Ellis * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Sam Perkins * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Jim McIlvaine * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jerome Kersey * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Greg Anthony | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| David Wingate | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Eric Snow | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter